The Cappuccino
Sunday, 8 November 2026

Congress flips; chips tumble.

Democrats won both houses of Congress, and investors dumped chip stocks on fears of tighter rules for data centres.

MarketsWeekly review8 min read
S&P 500 wk−2.68%Nasdaq wk−3.37%Stoxx 600 wk+0.24%FTSE 100 wk−0.52%DAX wk+0.01%Nikkei 225 wk−9.25%TASI wk+1.75%ADX wk−0.78%DFM wk+4.42%Brent (Jan) wk$98.32−13.32%WTI (Dec) wk$90.83−12.76%Gold wk$4,074.90+4.51%US 10-Yr wk4.86%−7.0bpEUR/USD wk1.1143−0.20%Bitcoin wk$75,762−2.43%S&P 500 wk−2.68%Nasdaq wk−3.37%Stoxx 600 wk+0.24%FTSE 100 wk−0.52%DAX wk+0.01%Nikkei 225 wk−9.25%TASI wk+1.75%ADX wk−0.78%DFM wk+4.42%Brent (Jan) wk$98.32−13.32%WTI (Dec) wk$90.83−12.76%Gold wk$4,074.90+4.51%US 10-Yr wk4.86%−7.0bpEUR/USD wk1.1143−0.20%Bitcoin wk$75,762−2.43%
01·The Week

A new Congress, a chip sell-off.

  • Senate: Democrats hold 54 seats after flipping seven, including Texas and Ohio, Al Jazeera reported; some races are still being counted.
  • House: AP called the chamber for Democrats; the new Congress takes over on 3 January.
  • Thursday: all 11 S&P 500 sectors fell in Wall Street’s worst day since April 2025, and the Nasdaq entered a correction, CNBC reported.
  • The trigger: Democratic wins raised fears that tighter rules could slow data-centre building; Senator Bernie Sanders called for a national moratorium.
  • Big Tech: the “Magnificent Seven” megacap tech stocks lost $1 trillion in market value that day.
02·Markets

Tokyo and Seoul slump, oil slides.

  • Japan: the Nikkei 225 entered a bear market on Friday, more than 20% below its June peak, CNBC reported.

Week to Fri 6 Nov close. Brent is the January contract.

25.64

VIX

+32.03% wk

−11.71%

Kospi

Week

5.26%

US 30-Yr

−4.9bp wk

$51.80

Silver

+5.51% wk

Equities
Week to Friday 6 Nov close. Gulf: Saudi week to Thursday 5 Nov; UAE week to Friday 6 Nov.
S&P 500−2.68%
Nasdaq Composite−3.37%
Russell 2000−2.05%
Stoxx 600+0.24%
FTSE 100−0.52%
DAX+0.01%
Nikkei 225−9.25%
Hang Seng+5.10%
TASI (Saudi)+1.75%
ADX (Abu Dhabi)−0.78%
DFM (Dubai)+4.42%
Commodities
Oil at Friday’s settlement.
Brent (Jan)$98.32−13.32%
WTI (Dec)$90.83−12.76%
Gold$4,074.90+4.51%
Rates
US 10-Yr4.86%−7.0bp
FX
EUR/USD1.1143−0.20%
Digital Assets
Bitcoin at 07:30 GST Sunday, change over seven days.
Bitcoin$75,762−2.43%
03·Chart of the Week

Planes up, chips down.

US stocks · one week · close Fri 6 Nov

Winners and losers of the week.

Change over the week to Friday, %.

Key takeaway · Delta, an airline, gained as oil fell; Micron, a memory-chip maker, fell furthest.

Source: Yahoo Finance closing prices, Fri 30 Oct to Fri 6 Nov. Chip index: PHLX Semiconductor Index.

04·What Else Mattered

Hiring jumps, two banks hike.

US economy

Jobs beat forecasts

  • Payrolls: employers added 165,000 jobs in October, against 59,000 expected by economists polled by Dow Jones.
  • Jobless rate: fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.
  • The Fed: the report keeps a rate rise at the 9 December meeting in play, Yahoo Finance reported.

CNBC · Yahoo Finance · 6 Nov

Central banks

London and Sydney raise rates

  • Bank of England: raised its rate to 4%, its first increase since 2023.
  • Australia: the Reserve Bank raised its cash rate to 4.85%, the highest since 2008.
  • Euro zone: inflation rose to 4% in October, a three-year high, a flash estimate showed.

Bank of England · ABC News · CNBC · 3–5 Nov

Companies

Margins and a valuation

  • Apple: beat profit forecasts but expects lower margins as memory-chip costs rise, AP reported.
  • Anthropic: IPO investors are eyeing a $1–1.3 trillion valuation, down from about $2 trillion projected last month, Bloomberg and the WSJ reported.

AP · Bloomberg, WSJ via Yahoo Finance · 3–6 Nov

05·MENA Focus

Qatar’s plan, strikes continue.

  • Friday night: US forces struck Iranian air defences on Qeshm Island; Trump called the strikes “minor” and said there had been “a lot of progress with Iran”.
  • Qatar’s plan: Iran would admit UN nuclear inspectors and the US would lift its blockade, with Hormuz reopening on the second day, the Guardian reported.
  • Iran’s conditions: for now, it will not negotiate on nuclear issues until the US ends its blockade of Iranian ports and lifts sanctions, a Middle East official told AP.
  • Doha: Qatar denied reports that the talks had collapsed; its prime minister said, “We will never have a perfect peace deal.”
  • Hormuz: Iran’s military said two tankers caught fire after hitting mines on an “unauthorised route”, ABC News reported.
  • Aramco: adjusted third-quarter profit rose 9% to $31.2bn, MEED reported.
  • DIP Holding: the UAE’s first IPO this year priced at Dh1.12 a share, raising Dh1.9bn for Dubai Investments.
  • Emaar: offered Dh15 a share, about $3.3bn, to take full control of Emaar Development and delist it, The National reported.

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06·The Week Ahead

Three things to watch.

Three things to watch

  1. 01Tue 10 NovUS consumer prices for October
  2. 02No date setTehran’s response to Qatar’s proposals
  3. 03Thu 12 NovResults from Cisco and Applied Materials, a chip-equipment maker
Bull week

If If prices cool, Tehran accepts Qatar’s proposals and both companies beat forecasts

Oil eases; chip stocks recover.

Base week

If If prices rise as expected, talks continue without a deal and results are mixed

Swings continue.

Bear week

If If prices run hot, Tehran rejects the proposals and results disappoint

Oil rises and shares fall.

This week’s calendar

Monday
9 Nov
  • DataChina consumer and producer prices (Oct)
  • EarningsKKR; Take-Two, after the US close
Tuesday
10 Nov
  • DataUS consumer prices (Oct), 17:30 GST; China trade (Oct)
  • EarningsCoreWeave, after the US close
Wednesday
11 Nov
  • ListingDIP Holding expected to start trading on the DFM
  • DataGermany final consumer prices (Oct)
Thursday
12 Nov
  • DataUK GDP (Q3)
  • EarningsCisco and Applied Materials, after the US close
Friday
13 Nov
  • DataUS producer prices (Oct), 17:30 GST; euro zone GDP (Q3)
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