Double Espresso
Wednesday, 4 November 2026

Democrats gain, Asia slides.

Democrats made early gains in the US midterms, and stocks in Tokyo and Seoul fell.

MarketsDaily briefing6 min read
S&P 500+0.36%Nasdaq+0.83%Stoxx 600−0.58%FTSE 100−1.14%DAX−0.45%Nikkei 225−3.56%TASI−0.07%ADX−0.29%DFM+0.05%Brent (Jan)$103.60−1.12%WTI$96.09−0.38%Gold$3,940.40−0.74%US 10-Yr4.95%+5.8bpEUR/USD1.1241+0.43%Bitcoin$76,129−0.87%S&P 500+0.36%Nasdaq+0.83%Stoxx 600−0.58%FTSE 100−1.14%DAX−0.45%Nikkei 225−3.56%TASI−0.07%ADX−0.29%DFM+0.05%Brent (Jan)$103.60−1.12%WTI$96.09−0.38%Gold$3,940.40−0.74%US 10-Yr4.95%+5.8bpEUR/USD1.1241+0.43%Bitcoin$76,129−0.87%
01·The Lead

Early returns favour Democrats.

Counting was still under way; figures are AP’s as of about 07:55 GST.

  • Senate: Democrats flipped North Carolina, where Roy Cooper won, and South Carolina, where Annie Andrews ousted Republican Darline Graham, AP reported.
  • Senate majority: Democrats need a net two more seats.
  • House: Democrats had defeated six Republicans and need a net gain of three seats for a majority, AP reported.
  • House control: AP calls it when a party reaches 218 seats, which took eight days in each of the last two elections.
  • Georgia: Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms won the governor’s race, the first Black woman elected governor of any state.
  • The White House: President Trump told CBS he would be “Mr Veto” and block Democratic legislation, AFP reported.
02·Market Reactions

Tokyo drops, the dollar slips.

  • Treasuries: the 10-year yield rose after September job openings jumped to 7.5 million, AP reported.
  • Tokyo this morning: the Nikkei fell 3.6% as the yen rose, and memory-chip maker Kioxia dropped more than 13% at one point, AFP reported.
  • Seoul this morning: the Kospi was down 3.4% at 07:30 GST, after falling 3.6% on Tuesday.
  • Dollar: the euro rose above $1.12 as early results came in, AFP reported.

Tuesday 3 November closes; Brent is the January contract. Japan was shut on Tuesday.

20.83

VIX

−1.51%

+0.23%

Russell 2000

Tuesday

5.32%

US 30-Yr

+5.5bp

$49.59

Silver

−2.23%

Equities
Tuesday 3 Nov close; Nikkei at 07:30 GST Wednesday (Tokyo midday break) vs Monday close. Index moves shown as percentages.
S&P 500+0.36%
Nasdaq Composite+0.83%
Stoxx 600−0.58%
FTSE 100−1.14%
DAX−0.45%
Nikkei 225−3.56%
TASI (Saudi)−0.07%
ADX (Abu Dhabi)−0.29%
DFM (Dubai)+0.05%
Commodities
Brent (Jan)$103.60−1.12%
WTI (Dec)$96.09−0.38%
Gold$3,940.40−0.74%
Rates
US 10-Yr4.95%+5.8bp
FX
EUR/USD1.1241+0.43%
Digital Assets
EUR/USD and Bitcoin at 07:30 GST Wednesday, 24-hour change.
Bitcoin$76,129−0.87%
03·Chart of the Day

A few big gains, Apple down.

US stocks · share prices · close Tue 3 Nov

Six stocks, one session.

Change in Tuesday’s regular session, %.

Key takeaway · A few of the largest chip and AI companies lifted the S&P 500 on a day most of its members fell.

Source: Yahoo Finance closing prices; AP, Tuesday 3 Nov.

04·What Else Matters

Hormuz and results.

Iran

US strikes near Hormuz

  • The strikes: a US official said Monday’s strikes targeted Iranians firing surface-to-air missiles at US forces in the strait, AP reported.
  • Tehran: security chief Mohsen Rezaei said the strait will not reopen until the US meets Iran’s conditions.
  • Washington: Trump played down speculation that he was preparing to resume bombing after the election, AFP reported.

AP · 3 Nov; AFP · 4 Nov

Earnings

Apple slips on memory costs

  • Apple: beat profit forecasts but expects lower margins as AI demand drives up memory-chip prices, AP reported.
  • Palantir: said US commercial revenue rose 148%, overtaking its US government business for the first time.

AP · 3 Nov

05·MENA Focus

Aramco’s profit jumps, Emaar eyes a deal.

  • Aramco: third-quarter net profit rose 34.5% to $36.3bn, helped by higher prices and a joint-venture exit.
  • Aramco dividend: it declared a $21.9bn base dividend.
  • Emaar: shares rose 2.4% after Bloomberg reported it is considering buying Emaar Development for up to $3bn.
  • Emaar Development: its shares jumped 10.7%.
  • Saudi Arabia and Iran: Iran said talks with Riyadh were continuing, Reuters reported.
  • Saudi budget: the third-quarter deficit was $22.4bn and oil revenue fell 23% from a year earlier, Arab News reported.
  • Ukraine talks: Russia confirmed US-mediated talks with Ukraine in Abu Dhabi on 10 and 11 November, CNBC reported.

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