Double Espresso
Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Four capitals at one table.

Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey sent senior envoys to Tehran on Monday to push for a deal between Iran and Washington. No agreement was announced.

MarketsDaily briefing6 min read
S&P 500+0.70%Nasdaq+0.82%Stoxx 600+0.77%FTSE 100+0.72%DAX+0.91%Nikkei 225−0.80%TASI+3.43%ADX+0.55%DFM+0.31%Brent$110.74−0.86%WTI$101.76−1.46%Gold$4,038.40+0.76%US 10-Yr4.99%−0.2bpEUR/USD1.1179−0.37%Bitcoin$79,603+0.09%S&P 500+0.70%Nasdaq+0.82%Stoxx 600+0.77%FTSE 100+0.72%DAX+0.91%Nikkei 225−0.80%TASI+3.43%ADX+0.55%DFM+0.31%Brent$110.74−0.86%WTI$101.76−1.46%Gold$4,038.40+0.76%US 10-Yr4.99%−0.2bpEUR/USD1.1179−0.37%Bitcoin$79,603+0.09%
01·The Lead

Envoys in Tehran, and no deal yet.

  • Who met: Saudi Defence Minister Khalid bin Salman, Pakistan’s army chief Asim Munir and Turkish intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin met Iran’s top security negotiators.
  • The outcome: the four countries agreed to keep talking about expanding cooperation on regional peace and security, AP reported.
  • Qatar: Qatari mediators arrived in Tehran on Sunday, working in coordination with Washington, AP reported.
  • Iran’s position: spokesman Esmail Baghaei said messages still pass to the US through intermediaries, and that no Iranian accepts “complete surrender”.
  • Israel votes today: Defence Minister Israel Katz said Israel has no intention of attacking Iran before the election.

AP noted that a June deal brokered by Pakistan and Qatar unravelled quickly. It was meant to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the US blockade of Iranian ports.

02·Market Reactions

Chipmakers lead a rebound.

  • Anthropic filed for its IPO on Monday under the ticker ANT; Nvidia, Broadcom and Micron rose, Yahoo Finance reported.
  • The filing’s headline: $16.3bn of revenue in the six months to June, against $4.6bn for all of 2025.
  • Oil slipped after Brent neared its highest level since April on Friday.

Monday 26 October closes. Brent is now quoted for January delivery.

18.39

VIX

−5.45%

+0.38%

Russell 2000

small caps

5.30%

US 30-Yr

−1.4bp

+0.51%

Hang Seng

Monday

Equities
Monday 26 Oct close. Index moves shown as percentages.
S&P 500+0.70%
Nasdaq Composite+0.82%
Stoxx 600+0.77%
FTSE 100+0.72%
DAX+0.91%
Nikkei 225−0.80%
Commodities
Brent (Jan)$110.74−0.86%
WTI (Dec)$101.76−1.46%
Gold$4,038.40+0.76%
Silver$54.11+0.74%
Rates
US 10-Yr4.99%−0.2bp
FX
EUR/USD1.1179−0.37%
US Dollar Index101.96+0.15%
Digital Assets
Bitcoin at 07:25 GST Tuesday, 24-hour change.
Bitcoin$79,603+0.09%
03·Chart of the Day

The Gulf trades the talks.

Gulf and Egypt · benchmark index moves · close Mon 26 Oct

Saudi Arabia’s best day in 13 months.

One-day % change in each market’s main index.

Key takeaway · Reuters tied the rally to hopes for diplomacy; Qatar had its best day in over five months.

Source: Reuters, via Business Recorder, 26 Oct; rounded to one decimal.

04·What Else Matters

A week of decisions.

Central banks

The Fed meets today

  • Futures price a 90% chance of a hold at 3.75%–4% when the Fed decides on Wednesday.
  • Bank of America expects a quarter-point hike. The ECB decides on Thursday, the Bank of Japan on Friday.

MoneyCheck · Yahoo Finance · 26 Oct

Earnings

Big Tech reports

  • Alphabet and Microsoft report on Wednesday after the US close.
  • Amazon follows on Thursday after the close; Apple on Monday 2 November.

Yahoo Finance · 26 Oct · Business Wire · 15 Oct · Apple investor relations

AI spending

Meta raises, Microsoft trims

  • Meta plans to raise up to $95bn for AI infrastructure, starting with $35bn in stock.
  • Microsoft is offering voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 employees.

Yahoo Finance · 26 Oct

05·MENA Focus

The Yemen front, both ways.

Strikes continued in both directions over the weekend and on Monday.

  • Houthi claims, Saturday 24 Oct: the group said it targeted airports in Riyadh, Dammam and Najran and oil sites including Rabigh; Saudi authorities did not confirm.
  • Coalition account: it said it intercepted missiles aimed at Yanbu and Taif, France 24 reported.
  • Monday: the coalition said an operation destroyed five tunnels storing ballistic missiles and four launchers, AP reported.
  • Egypt: parliament approved President Sisi’s request to provide military support to Saudi Arabia against Houthi attacks.
  • Aramco will start storing crude in Singapore from the second half of 2027, the two countries’ energy ministers said.

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